Lesson notes · ≈ JLPT N3 · Intermediate 2
〜に決まっている~ni kimatte iru
strong certainty; bound to
Use 「〜に決まっている」 to state a strong conviction, without implying that the facts were checked.
How it works

What happens if the plans change suddenly? The speaker is very sure: everyone is bound to be troubled.

It expresses the speaker’s strong conviction; it does not mean the facts have already been checked.

The tone is like “That goes without saying, of course.” When contradicting someone, it can sound forceful.

In the example, the speaker is sure that people “will not be convinced.” The negative form before the pattern does not make that conviction uncertain.
